Work is already underway on the Luna-Glob and Luna-Resource missions, to be launched in the coming years. These orbiters and landers are preludes to future spacecraft that would haul lunar samples back to Earth, ostensibly setting the stage for even grander plans, such as a Russian moon base.
Also on the Russian space books is an aggressive Venus mission, as well as an attempt at the first Mercury landing.
Undeterred by recent failed missions, Russia revives famous Lunar program
Grand plans these, but are they on solid footing given Russia’s ruinous track record over many years in pushing payloads to other worlds? For example, a mix of technological snafus and poor management botched the Phobos-Grunt Mars mission earlier this year, and the failed probe to fell back to Earth without reaching the Red Planet.
Nevertheless, any visit to the astronautical archives shows that the Cold War-fueled former Soviet Union chalked up numerous successes at the Moon, Venus and elsewhere. But that was then, and this is now.
Indeed, the Russians “have been engaged for some time in a renaissance of their extremely successful Luna program,” said James Head, a noted space scientist within the Department of Geological Sciences at Brown University.
Amazing robotic capability of former Moon missions
Head observed the program’s past track record, in which the former Soviet Union successfully completed three robotic sample-return missions at the Moon (Luna 16, 20, and 24), also succeeding with two very well-instrumented robotic lunar rovers — Lunokhod 1 (Luna 17) and Lunokhod 2 (Luna 21) — and several orbiters, all undertaken more than 35 years ago.
“These basic accomplishments represent an amazing robotic capability not duplicated by anyone, including the United States,” Head told SPACE.com.
The Russians are building on the original clever and novel engineering designs for these missions and thinking ahead, with a focus on polar landers and a search for volatiles in the polar and near-polar regions, Head said.
“Sample-return missions are very likely to focus on the discoveries of the early polar Luna lander and rover missions,” Head continued, “and involve the return of volatile-containing samples using special devices for preservation and return.”
Russian robotic space program still has life in it
In reviewing last year’s launch, subsequent breakdown and fiery Earth re-entry of the Mars-bound Phobos-Grunt mission, Marov said that, basically, the failure was caused by factors rooted in the destructive 1990s, whose consequences “have not been yet overcome … though lessons were learned.”
Indeed, Russia has an enviable record of exploration on Venus, the Moon and Halley’s Comet, explained Marcia Smith, editor of the SpacePolicyOnline.com website.
“Despite setbacks, Russia today has an ambitious planetary exploration plan that may well be achievable technically,” Smith said, “but is subject to funding constraints that may lead to schedule delays and increased interest in international cooperation.”
Phobos-Grunt disaster was a huge letdown
Asif Siddiqi, an associate professor in the history department of Fordham University in New York, shared that view. He is a scholarly specialist in Soviet Union and Russian space endeavors.
“The Russians have never lacked in terms of ambitious plans, but the record of accomplishments in the past 20 years has obviously been poor,” Siddiqi told SPACE.com. “I don’t see any fundamental shift that’s happened to change the paradigm. Although there are some small signs, such as cooperation with both the European Space Agency and India, that suggest that they are exploring other options.
“The Phobos-Grunt disaster was a huge letdown,” Siddiqi said, “because they prepared that mission over a long period of time.” Overall, he views the Russian space industry as being beset by several issues: quality control problems, some degree of corruption and brain drain, as well as financing problems — money is tight.
“Put all this together, and it creates a very risky situation,” Siddiqi said.
Help from Russia’s Silicon Valley: the Skolkovo high-tech project
One Russian development to watch, Siddiqi explained, is the Skolkovo high-tech project, a plan to mimic Silicon Valley in terms of innovative research and production that may well find a home within Russian space development circles.
Siddiqi also senses that there’s a wait-and-see attitude about whether or not the next set of robotic lunar missions will work.
“My guess is that if they are successful, you are going to start seeing more missions in the 2020s … but, of course, that also depends on their economy,” Siddiqi said. “I would guess we’ll see what happens in the next five years … and that will tell us a lot.”